Super El Nino 2026 - A Brutal Lie? Arthur Fils [9wZD1y7GCCY]

Stormsurf Video Surf Forecast (Episode #626) for the week starting Sunday, May 17th, 2026.

Current marine conditions, short term forecast out 2 weeks including snow and precipitation forecasts, and the long term forecast going out a month to year or more man on fire netflix for surf, snow and rain based on projections of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and ENSO (El Nino/La Nina).

Click the 'Thumbs Up' icon if you liked the video.

To subscribe to get an automatic notification when we post a new video just click the Stormsurf Icon down in the lower right hand corner of the screen.

If you have question or an opinion - even if it's contrary to this weeks thesis - post a comment. We try to reply to every comment.

Contributions always welcome. Use the 'Super Thanks' button (the Heart with the $ sign in it) to donate galatasaray - antalyaspor a few dollars. It is always appreciated.

And visit our website at www.Stormsurf.com to follow along during the week to view all the details, including wave models, weather models, snow models, surf forecasts and so much more:

Thanks for watching!

Contents of This Video

0:00 - Introduction

1:26 - Global Significant Wave Height

2:14 - Current Conditions (Buoy Analysis - 46029, 029, 191, 202)

5:24 - Significant Wave devin vassell Height Hindcast (NPac, SPac)

7:11 - Significant Wave Height Hindcast (NAtla, SAtla, Indian Ocean)

9:35 - Jetstream Forecast (NPac)

12:16 - Surface Pressure/Wind Forecast

13:51 - Significant Wave Height Forecast (NPac, SPac)

16:25 - Significant Wave Height Forecast (NAtla, SAtla, Indian Ocean)

18:26 - California and Hawaii Local Wind Forecast

20:45 - Spot Surf Forecasts (PNW, NCAL, SCal, HI)

24:15 - Long Term Outlook

24:33 - TAO Zonal Wind (Current Conditions)

29:17 - 5 day Zonal Surface Wind Hindcast

30:29 - 2 Week OLR/MJO Forecast and MJO Phase Diagrams

33:07 - 2 week GFS Zonal Wind Anomaly Forecast

37:07 - 1 month CFS Zonal Wind Anomaly Forecast

38:22 - 3 month CFS Zonal Wind Anomaly, MJO and Pressure Bias

42:38 - Subsurface Water Temp Analysis (TOA)

45:09 - Subsurface Water Temp Analysis (GODAS)

45:38 - Pentad Sea Level Anomaly

47:52 - Upper Ocean Heat Anomalies (1 Year Trend)

49:56 - Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly

51:43 - SSTA Anomaly Comparison to 1997

55:37 - Alternate SST Anomaly Values

56:16 - 7 & 15 day SST Anomaly Trend

57:14 - CDAS NINO 1.2 & 3.4 Anomaly Trend

58:25 - Southern Oscillation Index

1:00:08 - SOI 30 day Graph

1:00:58 - CFS Nino 3.4 SST Anomaly Forecast

1:02:09 - Comparison to '97 Actuals

1:03:51 - Walker Circulation Tutorial

1:05:20 - Walker Circulation - Current Conditions

1:06:37 - No MJO Forecast in KWGA

1:07:16 - Weakest MJO Months

1:08:45 - Subsurface Temp Forecast - Kelvin Wave in July?

1:10:40 - 1997 and 2015 Kelvin Wave/MJO Activity

1:12:38 - 2026 In Comparison

1:13:15 - But The Forecast is Crazy - How?

1:14:11 - Summary

1:16:53 - Credits